KeyBanc Downgrades Greenbrier Companies (GBX) to Hold; "Easy Money" Gone

April 21, 2009 7:41 AM EDT

KeyBanc downgrades Greenbrier Companies (NYSE: GBX) from Buy to Hold.

KeyBanc analyst says, "While we expect that GBX will benefit from several more quarters of working capital and capital structure improvements, we also believe that much of the "easy money" relative to our (previous) upgrade is now behind us, and we are left to consider what is likely to be a long, slow recovery with respect to returning railcar manufacturing volumes. To that point, we note that shares of railcar manufacturers tend to trade with industry backlog. Given our belief that industry backlog will likely trough after GDP, we anticipate extremely weak orders and deliveries for the next several quarters, which could lead to a backlog trough sometime in late 2009 or early 2010. We are maintaining our FY09 and FY10 estimates of $0.18 and $0.77, respectively, and we are downgrading our rating on GBX to HOLD from BUY."

To see more analyst ratings on GBX Click Here.

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (Greenbrier) is engaged in designing, manufacturing and marketing of railroad freight car equipment in North America and Europe and a provider of railcar refurbishment and parts, leasing and other services to the railroad and related transportation industries in North America.


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