Dougherty & Co Downgrades Hologic (HOLX) to Neutral; Four Reasons Not To Like The Deal

May 1, 2012 10:28 AM EDT Send to a Friend
Get Alerts HOLX Hot Sheet
Price: $20.43 -2.9%

Rating Summary:
    16 Buy, 6 Hold, 2 Sell

Rating Trend: Down Down

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 12 | Down: 19 | New: 22
Trade HOLX Now!
Dougherty & Co downgraded Hologic (NASDAQ: HOLX) from Outperform to Neutral, price target cut from $26 to $20.

Analyst, Junaid Husain, sees four reasons against the acquisition of Gen-Probe (Nasdaq: GPRO) including:

1) Possible Softness in the Base Business - We would have expected a healthier Breast Health business, given the Dimensions Tomosynthesis Year-2 rollout. Ultimately, we ponder whether the Gen-Probe transaction is a smoke-screen for a weaker base business;

2) We’re Not So Sure of the Synergies. Metaphorically speaking, we’re unsure how 1+1=5, as it pertains to this deal. We note that 35% of Gen-Probe’s business is blood screening (i.e., HIV, HBV, HCV, etc) and unrelated to Hologic’s core women’s health businesses. As such, we do not see opportunities to leverage the sales force across multiple product lines;

3) We See Gen-Probe As Cytyc, Part Deux. The Gen-Probe transaction reminds us of Hologic’s much heralded (and later harangued) acquisition of Cytyc Corporation in 2007; and

4) Intractable Case of Napoleonic Syndrome - Almost 5 years after Hologic’s frustrating Cytyc acquisition — and many more smaller deals later (i.e., Third Wave Technologies, Interlace Medical, Sentinelle Medical, Healthcome, TCT)—we’re wondering what Hologic has to show for these acquisitions from a growth and/or strategic perspective.

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Hologic click here. For more ratings news on Hologic click here.

Shares of Hologic closed at $19.12 yesterday, with a 52 week range of $13.90-$23.24.


Join StreetInsider.com FREE and get immediately alerted when news breaks on your stocks and other market items - JOIN NOW
*NEW - Download StreetInsider's FREE iPhone and iPad App - Click Here



You May Also Be Interested In


Related Categories

Analyst PT Change, Downgrades, Mergers and Acquisitions

Add Your Comment