Goldman Sachs Sees 21% Upside for Large-Cap Banks

June 7, 2012 4:45 PM EDT Send to a Friend
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Analysts at Goldman Sachs see an average upside of 21 percent for large-cap banks and credit card company stocks. However, near term research paints a difficult short term environment for stocks in the financial sector and the ETF, Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLF).

In a research note today, Goldman analysts lowered second quarter earnings estimates on banks to reflect what they predict will be a 30 percent decline in quarter over quarter revenue. The decline in revenue is being driven by lower expectations for net interest margin, which is declining as the yield on 10-year treasures make record lows. Despite these headwinds, they see upside in this sector based on 2013 earnings estimates.

“We retain our Attractive coverage view on the credit card and large-cap bank stocks with an average upside of 21% and our Neutral coverage view on the regional banks with a more balanced 9% upside,” stated analysts at the bank, led by Richard Ramsden.

Ramsden has a Buy rating on JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) and American Express. (NYSE: AXP. Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), BB&T Corporation (NYSE: BBT) and Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ: FITB) are the best positioned to do well in the current environment of low yields, they said.


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