UBS Maintains a 'Neutral' on SUPERVALU (SVU); Debt Burden May Cause Disconnect with Potential Buyers
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Price: $6.45 -0.46%
Rating Summary:
1 Buy, 10 Hold, 1 Sell
Rating Trend: = Flat
Today's Overall Ratings:
Up: 11 | Down: 18 | New: 13
Rating Summary:
1 Buy, 10 Hold, 1 Sell
Rating Trend: = Flat
Today's Overall Ratings:
Up: 11 | Down: 18 | New: 13
Trade SVU Now!
UBS maintains a 'Neutral' on SUPERVALU (NYSE: SVU) price target of $2.20 (from $4.00).
Analyst, Jason DeRise, said, "The current Supervalu 13FYe EV/EBITDA is 4.9x compared to debt/EBITDA of 4.6x (includes on and off balance sheet pensions). But, a sum of the parts analysis reveals a problem: the market implied supermarket division EV/EBITDA of 3.9x is below this division’s 4.4x debt/EBITDA (UBSe). SVU cannot offload its supermarkets at any valuation; it can only sell it for a premium (otherwise debt/EBITDA goes up). We believe potential buyers are unlikely to bid at a premium. Therefore, we see low chance of SVU being bought (part or whole)...A gradual turnaround is the most likely scenario: but stay on the sidelines."
FY13 EPS estimate lowered from $0.63 to $0.62 and FY14 from $0.64 to $0.56.
For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on SUPERVALU click here. For more ratings news on SUPERVALU click here.
Shares of SUPERVALU closed at $2.12 yesterday, with a 52 week range of $1.68-$8.75.
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Analyst, Jason DeRise, said, "The current Supervalu 13FYe EV/EBITDA is 4.9x compared to debt/EBITDA of 4.6x (includes on and off balance sheet pensions). But, a sum of the parts analysis reveals a problem: the market implied supermarket division EV/EBITDA of 3.9x is below this division’s 4.4x debt/EBITDA (UBSe). SVU cannot offload its supermarkets at any valuation; it can only sell it for a premium (otherwise debt/EBITDA goes up). We believe potential buyers are unlikely to bid at a premium. Therefore, we see low chance of SVU being bought (part or whole)...A gradual turnaround is the most likely scenario: but stay on the sidelines."
FY13 EPS estimate lowered from $0.63 to $0.62 and FY14 from $0.64 to $0.56.
For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on SUPERVALU click here. For more ratings news on SUPERVALU click here.
Shares of SUPERVALU closed at $2.12 yesterday, with a 52 week range of $1.68-$8.75.
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