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UBS Engineering & Construction Update: Raising CB&I (CBI) Price Target; AECOM (ACM) FQ1 Preview

January 30, 2012 11:21 AM EST
CBI Hot Sheet
Rating Summary:
    10 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell

Rating Trend: = Flat

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 18 | Down: 7 | New: 23
UBS Engineering & Construction Update by Steven Fisher

Fisher said, "We are raising our price target on CB&I (NYSE: CBI) to $49, from $41, to reflect a rollout to a multiple based on 2013 and increased customer spending. AECOM (NYSE: ACM): Mgmt has guided that Q1, which is already a seasonally weak quarter (normally 20% of annual earnings), will be even weaker than usual due to a higher tax rate and restructuring charge. We are forecastin g EPS of $0.44 (17% of expected 2012 earnings), slightly below the Street of $0.46. However, we are slightly above the Street for full year EPS (UBSe of $2.60 vs. Street of $2.57 vs. guidance of $2.45-$2.65) as w.e expect earnings to be more concentrated in the 2nd half of fiscal 2012."

"Short Interest Update: down 5.6% in the 1st half of Jan. - In the 1st half of Jan., E&C short interest declined 5.6% to 1.87% (2-yr avg of 2.4%), down from 1.98% in the 2nd half of Dec., and E&C stock prices increased 6.9%, better than the S&P 500 of 2.5%."

"Sector view: We are selective near term, while waiting for 2H12 orders Catalysts are somewhat limited in the very near term, but we think 2H12 and 1H13 offer more promise for meaningful awards and backlog growth. Oil prices remain supportive, and we like the LNG/upstream/mining themes. Buy ratings: KBR (NYSE: KBR), Shaw Group (Nasdaq: SHAW), Fluor (NYSE: FLR), CBI, McDermott (NYSE: MDR), Foster Wheeler (Nasdaq: FWLT), ACM, Tutor Perini (NYSE: TPC)."


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