Splunk (SPLK): Small License Beat, Big Billings Deceleration : UBS

August 26, 2016 9:22 AM EDT
Get Alerts SPLK Hot Sheet
Price: $58.90 +1.41%

Rating Summary:
    33 Buy, 11 Hold, 1 Sell

Rating Trend: Down Down

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 14 | Down: 19 | New: 11
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UBS analyst, Brent Thill, reiterated his Buy rating on shares of Splunk (NASDAQ: SPLK) after headline results beat across the board, However, the analyst thinks investors are likely to fixate on two items 1) the smallest license beat in 5 Qs, especially in the context of (disappointingly) inline deferred revenue, and 2) the ~800bps q/q deceleration in calculated billings growth.

Key points in the quarter include:

1) Cloud is now $100M TCV of run rate billings; orders 2x y/y with largest booking Q to date more than double mgmt's plan with 4 of 10 largest deals in the Q Cloud (each 7 figures)

2) public sector traction also up (notably EAAs); encouraging for an F2Q

3) FY17 to mark GM trough

4) Security use case still strong, consistent at 40% of biz.

No change to the price target of $68 based on 6x NTM Sales.

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Splunk click here. For more ratings news on Splunk click here.

Shares of Splunk closed at $65.10 yesterday.

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