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Sirius (SIRI) Shares Stuck in Limbo Through August - Trefis

June 13, 2011 4:34 PM EDT
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Price: $3.02 -4.43%

Rating Summary:
    12 Buy, 10 Hold, 6 Sell

Rating Trend: Up Up

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 11 | Down: 12 | New: 13
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Sirius XM (Nasdaq: SIRI) shares may be caught in limbo until August, according to research firm Trefis.

Trefis believes that Sirius' price will hover around $2 per share, at least through August. In August, Sirius will have its second-quarter earnings release, where CEO Mel Karmazin is expected to guides earnings and progress with SatRad 2.0. Many investors also expect that cash will be put to use either through buybacks or dividends, but the action is unlikely to happen before the start of FY12.

The prediction means that Sirius won't rise much above the $2 price level it is currently trading at. Further, shares have risen from just about $1.00 one year ago, and more than doubled to over $2.40 as recent at the end of May.

It's a big prediction that may pay off big for investors should it be right.

Trefis models their $2 per share prediction with the following numbers: $126 in revenues per sub, 15.1 million automotive subscribers, 6.25 million retail subs, about 166 thousand rental subs, and $272 million of miscellaneous revs.


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