Nomura Securities on Metals & Mining: Coal Export - Quick Look at ANR, CNX, ACI, PCX

June 12, 2012 9:52 AM EDT Send to a Friend
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Nomura Securities on Metals & Mining: Coal Export

Analyst, Curt Woodworth, said, "Coking Coal exports declined 14% in May on weaker demand from Europe and Asia. This was partially offset by increased buying interest from China, which grew by 33% or 270kt m/m. Despite coking coal benchmark rising to the spot market at ~$225/t on concerns over supply disruptions in Australia, exports volumes from the US have been weak as shipments to all regions have declined."

Individual Stocks:

Alpha (NYSE: ANR)(Buy, $20): Coking coal shipments have declined primarily on weakness to Asia. Thermal exports also pulled back on lower sales to Europe as prices fall.

Consol (NYSE: CNX)(Buy, $45): Standalone coking coal volumes improved by 47% during the month. May export is only 4% below March.

Arch (NYSE: ACI)(Reduce, $8): Total shipments declined by 25% MoM as no sales were made to Asia, but Europe sales have held up well.

Patriot (NYSE: PCX)(Reduce $5): Shipments doubled during the month as PCX sold 117kt out of Baltimore to China.


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