Nomura Securities on Brokers & Asset Managers: Estimate Revisions Part II

June 1, 2012 9:26 AM EDT Send to a Friend
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Nomura Securities on Brokers & Asset Managers: Estimate Revisions Part II

Analyst, Glenn Schorr, said, "1Q12 was fun while it lasted, but the bloom is certainly off the rose so far in 2Q12, as capital markets trends have faltered. Macro concerns have led to soft investment banking, weak trading and slipping risk-asset prices. We seem to be well on our way to another one and done year for the capital markets and investors have quickly pulled back exposure to capital markets stocks. After outperforming in 1Q12, the capital markets stocks have meaningfully underperformed the market in 2Q12 (trust banks have fared best, -11% QTD, while the brokers have fared worst -29%). We have adjusted estimates across the board."

Northern Trust (Nasdaq: NTRS): 2QE EPS from $0.77 to $0.74 vs. Street $0.76; F12E EPS from $2.97 to $2.81 vs. Street $2.98; F13E EPS from $3.40 to $3.20 vs. Street $3.45; PT from $48 to $45

State Street (NYSE: STT): 2QE EPS from $1.01 to $0.97 vs. Street $0.99; F12E EPS from $3.95 to $3.76 vs. Street $3.89; F13E EPS from $4.55 to $4.25 vs. Street $4.52; PT from $50 to $47

Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN): 2QE EPS from $2.15 to $2.09 vs. Street $2.19; F12E EPS from $9.19 to $8.92 vs. Street $9.23; F13E EPS from $10.42 to $9.91 vs. Street $10.14; PT from $125 to $109

BlackRock (NYSE: BLK): 2QE EPS from $3.29 to $3.31 vs. Street $3.16; F12E EPS from $14.00 to $13.93 vs. Street $13.30; F13E EPS from $15.78 to $15.62 vs. Street $14.91; PT from $221 to $203

Invesco (NYSE: IVZ): 2QE EPS from $0.46 to $0.44 vs. Street $0.46; F12E EPS from $1.93 to $1.85 vs. Street $1.92; F13E EPS from $2.31 to $2.20 vs. Street $2.26; PT from $30 to $26

Legg Mason (NYSE: LM): 2QE EPS from $0.14 to $0.13 vs. Street $0.27; F12E EPS from $1.83 to $1.79 vs. Street $1.82; F13E EPS from $2.35 to $2.31 vs. Street $2.31; PT from $28 to $25

T. Rowe Price (Nasdaq: TROW): 2QE EPS from $0.84 to $0.82 vs. Street $0.82; F12E EPS from $3.31 to $3.23 vs. Street $3.32; F13E EPS from $4.07 to $3.91 vs. Street $3.84; PT from $65 to $59


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