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Nomura Securities Maintains a 'Neutral' on Sprint (S); Sprinting in Place...for Years

February 7, 2012 9:16 AM EST
S Hot Sheet
Rating Summary:
    6 Buy, 14 Hold, 3 Sell

Rating Trend: = Flat

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 20 | Down: 11 | New: 38
Nomura Securities maintains a 'Neutral' on Sprint (NYSE: S) price target of $2.50.

Analyst, Mike McCormack, said, "We view Sprint’s 4Q11 earnings as more of an opportunity to measure Sprint against the execution of “normalized” projects than as an assessment of traditional quarterly wireless metrics. We advise investors to use 4Q11 results to assess the progression toward cash generation on absolute terms, as there is little cash cushion to prevent subsequent debt raises, and possible equity dilution. We believe that Sprint’s 4Q11 expectations are already appropriately low, ~$700mn of net EBITDA dilution from the respective Network Vision project and iPhone (Nasdaq: AAPL) launch. The combined impact should represent just under 10% of the estimated $9bn of EBITDA and capex dilution expected through 2013. Using the company’s projections, investors are asked to look to 2017 for a sense of “normalized” Sprint economics. We could rationalize a valuation range of $0.40-4.00 per share. We have lowered our 4Q11 postpaid net add estimate to 150k from 250k. Our EPS estimates are unchanged."

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Sprint click here. For more ratings news on Sprint click here.

Shares of Sprint closed at $2.46 yesterday, with a 52 week range of $2.10-$6.45.


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