Deutsche Bank Slashes Estimates On Goldman Sachs (GS), Citing Real Estate Losses
Deutsche Bank analyst Mike Mayo is lowering estimates again on Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), saying he is incrementally more concerned about losses related to real estate after speaking with the firm's Senior REIT analyst, Lou Taylor.
Mayo is lowering Q4 from a loss of $0.65 to a loss of $3.86, 2009 from $8.45 to $7.10, 2010 from $9.20 to $7.85 and their price target from $113 to $97.
On the real estates losses, Mayo said, "According to Lou Taylor, cap rates have increased an est. 100-200bps, while core cashflow has declined by about 5-10% across segments (Note that there are no transactions to determine cap rates and it is simply his best estimate as to where they will be when debt markets thaw and transactions resume). Assuming GS cashflow is down 10% and cap rates increased by 2%, the value of GS real estate holdings would have declined by $1.3B, vs. our prior est. of down $500 mil."
Goldman Sachs will report Q4 results on Tuesday, December 16th in a release that will be issued at approximately 8:30 am. A conference call will be held at 11:00 am (ET).
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