Deutsche Bank Maintains a 'Hold' on HealthSpring (HS), Raises PT Feb 8, 2010 03:42PM

Deutsche Bank maintains a 'Hold' rating on HealthSpring (NYSE: HS), price target increased by $1 to $20.

HS issues 2010 EPS guidance at $2.25-2.50 compared to $2.41 in 2009 driven primarily by a stronger top-line outlook. HS is assuming 2010 EPS could range from +4% growth to a decline of -7%. The guidance assumes both the MA and PDP MLRs will rise in 2010 although EPS will be supported by positive enrollment growth in both product lines. The next key catalyst for HS will be the announcement of preliminary 2011 MA rates from CMS. Maintain Hold on Medicare earnings concentration offset by discounted valuation...One of the key upcoming catalysts for Medicare focused MCOs will be the release of preliminary MA rates for 2011 from CMS. There are a range of potential outcomes for the 2011 rates that depend on whether Congress structures a short-term or long-term fix to Medicare provider rate cuts as well as the level of coding intensity adjustments that CMS decides to build into the 2011 rates, among other factors. On the HS call, CEO Fritch surmised that 2011 preliminary rates could come in as high as 4% if the Congress implements a longer-term doc fix, or be down slightly from 2010 if there is only a 2 or 3 month ST extender built into a piece of upcoming legislation. We are currently assuming in our models generally flattish MA rates for 2011, although we see a range of outcomes that could range from +4 to -5%."

To see all the upgrades/downgrades on shares of HS, visit our Analyst Ratings page.


YouTube Ad Coverage Improved Sharply Over '09 -Piper Jaffray (GOOG) Feb 8, 2010 02:35PM

Piper Jaffray has just issued a mid-day research note on Google (Nasdaq: GOOG). In the report, the firm argues that the search-giant has increased its ad coverage for YouTube videos over the last year. Piper Jaffray reiterates its Overweight rating and $700 price target on shares of Google.

After tracking the top 100 videos on YouTube, Piper Jaffray notes that 41% came with ads this year, up from 29% in March of 2009. Further, the firm believes that Google "has expanded the type of videos they will run ads against" and that pre-roll ads are "the best way to monetize video." According to data from Piper, about 8% of the videos in the top 100 contained pre-roll ads. When the firm did this same survey last year, Google did not offer pre-roll ads.

The firm believes that YouTube could generate $735 million in gross sales for Google during 2010 -- about 4% of Google's Owned and Operate site revenue or 2.5% of total gross revenues.

Shares of Google are up 1.2% to $537.90 today.


BofA Raises S&P 500 EPS Estimate to $75 for '10, to $85 for '11 Feb 8, 2010 02:11PM

BofA's Head US Equity Strategist, David Bianco, today lifted his '10 and '11 earnings estimates for the S&P 500 index. The analyst now sees combined earnings for the average reaching $75 this year, up from his prior estimate of $73. For 2011, Bianco raised his earnings estimate from $83 to $85.

Since 2006, earnings across the S&P 500 have fallen by 32% from $87.72 to $59.65 last year. If the S&P 500 did return to the lofty $85 level (like BofA is predicting), year-to-year growth would be around 42% -- the strongest growth rate since 1987.


Credit Suisse Maintains a 'Neutral' on CenterPoint Energy (CNW); Raises PT Feb 8, 2010 12:51PM

Credit Suisse maintains a 'Neutral' rating on CenterPoint Energy (NYSE: CNW), raises price target from $25 to $30.

To see all the upgrades/downgrades on shares of CNW, visit our Analyst Ratings page.

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. is a public utility holding company.


Could Interest in Homebuilding Stocks Be Returning? Bulls Making the Case Today... Feb 8, 2010 11:59AM

Homebuilders are among one of the best performing sectors today as we have several news items which suggest that a bullish sentiment could be returning to the market. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (NYSE: XHB) is up more than 2.7% today.

  • following DR Horton's (NYSE: DHI) surprise Q1 profit last week, traders may be trying to get ahead of any possible earnings upside within the group. DR Horton's results marked the first time a homebuilder has returned to a profit since the beginning of the housing debacle.
  • in an upgrade of Home Depot (NYSE: HD) this morning, Morgan Stanley predicted that the housing market bottom is now in. Although the firm did not comment on any specific homebuilders, Home Depot and homebuilding certainly go hand-in-hand.
  • FBR Research issued a note this morning considering market data which suggests that lumber price increases are accelerating. While such data may seem bearish at first glance (higher prices = higher costs and slimmer margins), traders may be viewing the metric as a signal that demand for construction goods is beginning to strengthen.
Around the sector:
  • Pulte Homes (NYSE: PHM) up 3.9% to $11.30
  • DR Horton up 3.4% to $13.10
  • Toll (NYSE: TOL) up 2.4% to $19.09
  • Lennar (NYSE: LEN) up 6.3% to $15.64
  • KB Home (NYSE: KBH) up 4% to $15.52
  • Ryland (NYSE: RYL) up 3.3% to $22.89
  • Meritage Homes (NYSE: MTH) up 4% To $21.96
  • Standard Pacific (NYSE: SPF) up 6% to $3.86


More Analyst Comments

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Feb 8, 2010 11:09AM UBS Pounds the Table On Lear (LEA), Raises Price Target and Estimates
Feb 8, 2010 10:57AM Raymond James Lowers Price Target on Phase Forward (PFWD)
Feb 8, 2010 10:50AM Piper Jaffray Names Inspire (ISPH) and Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) as Top Picks
Feb 8, 2010 10:29AM Baird Maintains an 'Outperform' on Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD); Raises PT
Feb 8, 2010 10:27AM Baird Maintains an 'Outperform' on Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG); Raises PT
Feb 8, 2010 10:10AM Bank of America/Merrill Lynch added Google (GOOG) to their US 1 List
Feb 8, 2010 09:51AM Barron's Article Makes Comments on Motorola (MOT); Shares Could Rise 40% If Cellphone Division Spun-Off
Feb 8, 2010 09:37AM Barron's Article Makes Comments on athenahealth (ATHN); Suggests Buyers Be Wary
Feb 8, 2010 09:35AM Deutsche Bank Cuts Price Target on First Solar (FSLR) to $125
Feb 8, 2010 09:21AM Piper Says Checks Indicating Strong Jan. Sales at Research In Motion (RIMM)
Feb 8, 2010 09:17AM Canaccord Adams Reiterates a 'Buy' on HeartWare International (HTWR); Adjusts Price Target & Estimates
Feb 8, 2010 09:03AM Goldman Sachs Revises Fertilizer Prices Upward, Sees Upcoming Catalysts (MOS, POT)
Feb 8, 2010 07:33AM Goldman Sachs Removed Genzyme (GENZ) from Conviction Sell List, Adds St. Jude (STJ)
Feb 8, 2010 07:11AM FBR Research Maintains a 'Market Perform' on NVIDIA (NVDA); Raise PT & 2010 Estimates
Feb 8, 2010 07:05AM FBR Research Reiterates an 'Outperform' on E*Trade (ETFC); Lowers PT After Response to Price Cuts
Feb 5, 2010 11:41AM UBS Raises Price Target On Ralcorp (RAH) to $72
Feb 5, 2010 11:37AM UBS Lowers Target on Phase Forward (PFWD) to $18, Maintains Buy
Feb 5, 2010 11:21AM Calyon Securities Maintains a 'Buy' on MasterCard (MA); Lowers PT to $300
Feb 5, 2010 10:09AM AMAG Pharmaceuticals (AMAG) Can't Get Off Its Back Due to Ferahem Safety Concerns
Feb 5, 2010 09:31AM Hapoalim Securities Reiterates a 'Buy' on Acorda (ACOR); Premium Ampyra Pricing
Feb 5, 2010 09:27AM Wedbush Reiterates an 'Outperform' on Jo-Ann Stores (JAS); Raises PT
Feb 5, 2010 09:25AM Piper Jaffray Maintains an 'Overweight' on Moody's Corporation (MCO); Raises PT & Estimates
Feb 5, 2010 08:44AM Citi Adds Urban Outfitters (URBN) to Top Picks Live List
Feb 5, 2010 08:22AM HSBC Upgrades LDK, STP; Raises Price Targets on TSL, YGE
Feb 5, 2010 07:41AM Deutsche Bank Reiterates a 'Buy' on MasterCard (MA); Pullback Creates Compelling Buying Opportunity
Feb 5, 2010 07:37AM Piper Jaffray Reiterates an 'Overweigtht' on Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR); Raises PT
Feb 5, 2010 07:31AM Piper Jaffray Maintains an 'Outperform' on Cogo Group (COGO); Raises PT & Estimates
Feb 5, 2010 07:28AM Janney Montgomery Scott Maintains a 'Buy' on Shutterfly (SFLY); Raises PT & 2010 Estimates
Feb 5, 2010 07:09AM KeyBanc Reiterates a 'Buy' on Tenneco (TEN), Taises PT
Feb 4, 2010 06:25PM S&P Affirms Debt Rating on Rayonier (RYN), Revises Outlook From Stable to Positive
Feb 4, 2010 03:12PM Credit Suisse Ups Target on Domtar (UFS) to $82 Following Q4 Earnings
Feb 4, 2010 02:50PM Needham & Company Defends AMAG Pharmaceuticals (AMAG), Says Buy On Weakness
Feb 4, 2010 02:43PM Cramer Says Buy Schlumberger (SLB) 'Right Here, Right Now'
Feb 4, 2010 01:18PM Credit Suisse Lifts Target on Vale (VALE) to $36
Feb 4, 2010 10:12AM FBR Research Modestly Raises PT & Estimates on ITT Corporation (ITT)
Feb 4, 2010 10:09AM FBR Research Maintains a 'Market Perform' on Roper Industries (ROP); Raises PT & Estimates
Feb 4, 2010 10:07AM FBR Research Maintains an 'Outperform' on ON Semiconductor (ONNN); Raises PT & 2010 Estimates
Feb 4, 2010 10:04AM FBR Research Maintains a 'Market Perform' on RightNow Technologies (RNOW); Raises PT & Estimates
Feb 4, 2010 10:02AM FBR Research Reiterates an 'Outperform' on ACE Ltd (ACE); Lowers PT & Estimates
Feb 4, 2010 09:56AM FBR Research Raises Price Target & Estimates on Massey Energy (MEE)
Feb 4, 2010 09:28AM Needham & Company Lowers Price Target On FEI Company (FEIC), Reit. Buy
Feb 4, 2010 09:24AM Needham & Company Lifts Price Target On CommVault Systems (CVLT) to $27
Feb 4, 2010 09:20AM Credit Suisse Adds Morgan Stanley (MS) to U.S. Focus List
Feb 4, 2010 09:08AM Goldman Sachs Removed Lexmark (LXK) from their Conviction Sell List
Feb 4, 2010 09:07AM Jesup & Lamont Reiterates a 'Buy' on Hawaiian Holdings (HA); Growth Through Addition of Int'l Flights
Feb 4, 2010 08:59AM Goldman Sachs Raises Price Target On ON Semi (ONNN) to $11
Feb 4, 2010 08:42AM Credit Suisse Adds Research In Motion Ltd. (RIMM) to its Focus List
Feb 4, 2010 07:21AM Goldman Sachs Removed Polo Ralph Lauren (RL) from their Conviction Buy List
Feb 4, 2010 07:04AM Goldman Sachs Adds Franklin Resources (BEN) to Conviction Buy List, Removes BlackRock; Upgrades JNS to Buy, Downgrades OZM
Feb 3, 2010 03:56PM UBS Lifts Price Target On Veeco Instruments (VECO), Sees Better Than Expected Results
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