Bank Stocks Beaten Down on Bove's Bearish Note

August 11, 2009 11:51 AM EDT

Financial stocks are sliding today following (among other things) a bearish note by Rochdale Securities' popular banking analyst, Dick Bove.

Bove suggested investors lock in profits following the recent surge in financials since rebounding in early-March, saying that bank stocks are "trading on fumes". As Bove believes earnings will not improve in Q3, or even Q4, and that most banks will report losses, the analyst sees a near-term pullback in these stocks.

The Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLF), a very heavily-traded ETF which attempts to mimic the movement of the broader financial sector, is down about 3.6% today.

Here's how several banks are performing today:

  • Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) down 4% to $15.98
  • JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) down 3.7% to $41.13
  • Citigroup (NYSE: C) down 7.2% to $3.66
  • Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) down 5.2% to $27.14
  • Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) up 0.2% to $160.76
  • US Bancorp (NYSE: USB) down 4.4% to $22.00
  • Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) down 2% to $30.19


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Stocks Mentioned

BAC 15.77

+0.30 +1.94%
Volume: 32,091,909
Track BAC

C 4.14

+0.08 +1.97%
Volume: 101,335,143
Track C

GS 167.01

+2.85 +1.74%
Volume: 2,953,550
Track GS

JPM 42.14

+0.81 +1.96%
Volume: 7,554,223
Track JPM

MS 31.19

+0.68 +2.23%
Volume: 3,015,210
Track MS

USB 23.85

+0.90 +3.92%
Volume: 2,897,472
Track USB

WFC 27.74

+0.60 +2.21%
Volume: 7,528,373
Track WFC

XLF 14.51

+0.23 +1.61%
Volume: 20,916,257
Track XLF


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Comments View All Comments

Banks vs GSE MREITS
Taymere on Aug 12, 2009 03:22 AM

I wouldn't own a big zombie, but I am happy with my recent TBNK purchase. That's about the only bank I would own, not because there are no other undervalued banks but because they can't compete with GSE MREITS like AGNC. Why? Because of FDIC premiums and special assessments. The FDIC fees only let banks keep about 80 cents on every dollar deposited. Efficiency ratios at the profitable banks that I am possibly interested in are all north of 60%, whereas at the MREITS efficency ratios are less than 20%. The low cost of funds via deposits, instead of repos, was the only advantage banks had over mreits, and the FDIC has taken that advantage away. Same NIM as banks but, lower efficiency ratios, no NPA's or NCO's, GSE MREITS win.

Banks vs GSE MREITS
Taymere on Aug 12, 2009 03:22 AM

I wouldn't own a big zombie, but I am happy with my recent TBNK purchase. That's about the only bank I would own, not because there are no other undervalued banks but because they can't compete with GSE MREITS like AGNC. Why? Because of FDIC premiums and special assessments. The FDIC fees only let banks keep about 80 cents on every dollar deposited. Efficiency ratios at the profitable banks that I am possibly interested in are all north of 60%, whereas at the MREITS efficency ratios are less than 20%. The low cost of funds via deposits, instead of repos, was the only advantage banks had over mreits, and the FDIC has taken that advantage away. Same NIM as banks but, lower efficiency ratios, no NPA's or NCO's, GSE MREITS win.

bove
they no nothing on Aug 11, 2009 11:58 PM

bove said bac was the best buy ever when it was below 3 dollars. he says its now overvalued, i bought at 3 dollars on his say. i will scale out on his advice it is over priced its been a good run. thanks

Bank stocks
mark on Aug 11, 2009 09:09 PM

Bank stocks have been very crazy, You hear buy this and buy that. It seems to me that if you buy just about any bank stock that is trading under value and can afford to hold on to, It will eventually go back to normal trading value. Such as (RF) normally trades at around 20.00 but now it is trading under value@ 5.00 a share, If you buy and can afford to buy enough stocks like this and hold them long enough you could create a great nest egg for your kids.

the banks, markets, politicians etc.
Patricia on Aug 11, 2009 08:49 PM

This is not the country I grew up in. One scam after another. I am going to short banks and hopefully make a few dollars. If that does not work, I will pitch a tent. Whatever.

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